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The Cinematic Katzenjammer: Box Office Talk: October 26

Friday

Box Office Talk: October 26


Last weekend’s two new releases did surprisingly terrible at the box office. Unfortunately, the four new films being released this weekend don’t provide much hope for recovery from last weekend.
Cloud Atlas the dramatic sci-fi film from the Wachowski siblings has the most potential, but as beautiful as the picture looks on the screen it looks equally as confusing. Tom Hanks, Halle Berry, Hugo Weaving, Hugh Grant, and Jim Broadbent are just a few cast in the star-studded film. Sadly, I think far too many people are going to skip the film because they don’t think they’ll understand it.



Silent Hill: Revelation is a film that feels like it’s about 3 or 4 years too late. The first Silent Hill had an impressive $20+ million opening in 2006, but so much time has passed and there are so many other options available that it’s unlikely to repeat that success.
A film that could surprise many this weekend is the teenage Halloween film Fun Size. Nickelodeon star Victoria Justice and Chelsea Handler are the film’s biggest stars, means that the film is going to have to hope that young teenagers just want to see the movie. I think families are tired of animation and high-octane action films like The Avengers and may be open to just an entertaining family movie.

Finally, we have the inspirational story of surfing legend Jay Moriarty in Chasing Mavericks. Last year saw Soul Surfer opened with over $10 million, and although a surfing movie as well, it also gave the inspiration story of a young girl that lost her armed to a shark attack. In Chasing Mavericks the inspiration comes from the choice young Jay (Jonny Weston) makes to take on the humongous wave, whereas in Soul Surfer the inspiration comes from overcoming an incredible injury. I think there’s a huge difference between the two, and Chasing Mavericks just doesn't have the same appeal.
Here’s how I foresee the Top 10 faring:

Box Office Predictions

RANKTITLEJOE'S
PREDICTION
1Cloud Atlas$17,000,000
2Argo$12,700,000
3Silent Hill: Revelation$11,000,000
4Paranormal Activity 4$11,000,000
5Fun Size$11,000,000
6Hotel Transylvania$9,400,000
7Taken 2$7,300,000
8Sinister$5,500,000
9Here Comes the Boom$5,500,000
10Alex Cross$5,100,000
Additional New Releases
Chasing Mavericks
>
$4,000,000

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3 Comments:

At October 26, 2012 at 6:40 PM , Blogger TheVern said...

Have you seen the trailer for Fun Size. THat is anything but a fun family movie. The two lead characters are horrible people. They dont care about anyone but themselves and trying to fuck one of the guys they both like, and that guy comes off asa compelte doucebag. It sends a terrible message to young girls and women everywhere.

 
At October 26, 2012 at 6:41 PM , Blogger Nick said...

Vern's just jealous because he can't get with Victoria Justice.

 
At October 26, 2012 at 9:58 PM , Blogger Joe Giuliano said...

Vern, I don't disagree with you...but it's target audience is 13-16 year olds.

 

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