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The Cinematic Katzenjammer: Box Office Talk: October 12

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Box Office Talk: October 12



As some of you may have noticed, I've been incorporating a lot of new things to The Cinematic Katzenjammer and having an occasional contributor that's not myself write something for the blog. This is a gradual progression that's going to slowly lead to something more. Below, I've "borrowed" Joe from Two Dude Review's Box Office Predictions for the weekend and will continually have as a feature on the site. 

If the past two weekends are any indication, the box office is back on track and in a strong way. Hotel Transylvania and Taken 2 each over-performed finishing #1 during their respective opening weekends. This weekend four new films are being released, each arriving with a certain level of expectation.


Ben Affleck has reinvented himself as actor, thanks in large part to him finding a director talented enough to showcase his true talent; Ben Affleck is that director. Argo is the newest film directed by and starring Affleck, and much like his 2010 film The Town is garnering very strong Academy Award buzz. I’ve already gone on record saying that I think Argo is my dark horse pick to win the Best Picture award at the next Academy Awards. I think the film is going to be a huge hit with audiences and at the box office, and will catapult Affleck near the top of the list of best directors working today. As discussed on a recent episode of As You Watch Podcast, Affleck is the most recent successful director to star in his own film(s). Argo is based on a true story about a top-secret CIA operation, led by Tony Mendez (Ben Affleck) to help rescue 6 Americans that find refuge hiding out in the home of the Canadian Ambassador during the Iran Hostage Crisis.

Sinister is the newest ‘scariest movie in a long time’, a phrase that is seriously overused in the horror genre. It’s not that I think Sinister isn't going to be scary, or at least in the way scary is defined to some, it’s just that so many films have failed to live up to that expectation. I've got high hopes that the film does offer its fill of scary moments, and hope that a classic ‘villain’ is born out of Bagul, because the genre desperately needs a character in the form of Jason Voorhees, Michael Meyers and Freddy Krueger. In Sinister a crime novelist (Ethan Hawke) finds home videos of the family that used to live in his new home, and wound up gruesomely murdered. After watching the videos and doing some investigating, he discovers the possibility of a supernatural entity causing the deaths. As his discoveries further, he puts himself and his family in danger of being Bagul’s next victims.
Here Comes the Boom at first glance appears to be a comedic retelling of the 2011 hit dramatic film Warrior. The film stars Kevin James as Scott Voss, a high school biology teacher who decides to take a shot a mixed-martial arts in an attempt to help earn money for his financially strapped school. That’s not even the funniest, or should I say unlikeliest thing to happen in the film as apparently Salma Hayek plays James’ love interest in the film. There have been a large number of pre-screenings of the film, as well as a massive marketing push with James making a number of appearances to promote the film. Based on what’s been shown in the trailers, I feel pretty confident in stating that it was a huge waste of time and money.


Seven Psychopaths looks to be the type of film that may not succeed at the box office, but goes on to become a word of mouth sensation after it’s released on video. The film is written and directed by Martin McDonagh, whose previous film In Bruges was a hit with audiences and critics alike, and even earned McDonagh a Best Original Screenplay Oscar nomination. Along with having a good director and writer, Seven Psychopaths also has an incredible cast. Woody Harrelson, Sam Rockwell, Colin Farrell, Christopher Walken, Abie Cornish, and Michael Pitt are just a sampling of whom appear in the film. In Seven Psychopaths when a gangster’s (Harrelson) beloved Shih-Tzu is dog-napped, a screenwriter (Farrell) finds himself dragged into the situation since his two crazy friends (Rockwell and Walken) stole the dog.


Here’s a look at how I see the Top 10 shaking out this weekend:

Box Office Predictions

RANKTITLEJOE'S
PREDICTION
1Argo$26,000,000
2Taken 2$22,100,000
3Hotel Transylvania$16,200,000
4Sinister$15,000,000
5Here Comes the Boom$13,000,000
6Seven Psychopaths$9,000,000
7Pitch Perfect$7,700,000
8Looper$7,500,000
9Frankenweenie$6,400,000
10End of Watch$2,200,000

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6 Comments:

At October 11, 2012 at 9:02 PM , Anonymous Daniel Prinn said...

Man, I think I'm going to be so off in my first attempt to predict box office earnings...

 
At October 11, 2012 at 9:13 PM , Blogger Joe Giuliano said...

Hi Dan!

Don't sweat that, I have some good weekends and some bad weekends...mostly bad weekends :) I've found myself leaning more towards the optimistic side of things more often than not.

Seriously though, I've found that the more I do it the more interesting it becomes to see what movies people want to see.

I keep a running total of how off I am on new releases each weekend, and at the end of the year I'll give that number. Starting in January, I'll keep a running total each week for everyone to see. Hopefully you and others will want to play along.

 
At October 11, 2012 at 9:18 PM , Anonymous Daniel Prinn said...

That's a good idea actually! I'll have to start that tally next year, like just an average of how much you're off for the general year? I'd really enjoy seeing that.

 
At October 11, 2012 at 9:23 PM , Blogger Joe Giuliano said...

Yeah, that's pretty much exactly what it is.

It can make you feel like you've done an incredibly shitty job, but then you realize that no one's perfect.

Try setting a goal for yourself in the beginning of the year of trying to stay under $1B total..if you do it, then knock a few $100M off the total.

 
At October 11, 2012 at 11:42 PM , Blogger alienxphile said...

I was hoping that Frankenweenie would have done better at the box office. It's a really charming movie. A hell of a lot better than Hotel Transylvania.

 
At October 12, 2012 at 5:06 AM , Blogger Joe Giuliano said...

I had hoped for the same thing.

After thinking about though, I feel like Frankenweenie had a lot working against it. Disney did a poor job of marketing the film, stop-motion animation never succeeds at the box office, it was a black and white kids film, and it should have been pushed back a couple of weeks instead of following Hotel Transylvania.

While maybe not the same quality as Frankenweenie, it wasn't surprising to see how poorly Frankenweenie did after how well Hotel Transylvania opened up.

 

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